Next Bulgarian parliamentary election
The next Bulgarian parliamentary election will be held on or before 14 November 2025 to elect members of the National Assembly.
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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
The previous parliamentary elections in November 2021 saw We Continue the Change (PP) achieve a surprise victory,[1] receiving 25% of the vote. Led by Kiril Petkov, the PP formed a coalition government with BSP for Bulgaria (BSPzB), There Is Such a People (ITN) and Democratic Bulgaria (DB). This broke the deadlock that had arisen as a result of the previous two parliamentary elections, after which no party was able to form a government.[2]
Electoral system
The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by open list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4% for parties, with seats allocated according to the largest remainder method.[3][4]
Political parties
The table below lists the parties currently represented in the National Assembly.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2021 result | Current seats | Petkov Government | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
| PP | We Continue the Change Продължаваме промяната |
Pro-Europeanism Anti-corruption |
Kiril Petkov Asen Vasilev |
25.3% | 67 / 240 |
67 / 240 |
Government | ||
| GERB–SDS | GERB-Union of Democratic Forces ГЕРБ-Съюз на демократичните сили |
Conservatism | Boyko Borisov | 22.4% | 59 / 240 |
59 / 240 |
Opposition | ||
| DPS | Movement for Rights and Freedoms Движение за права и свободи |
Turkish minority interests | Mustafa Karadayi | 12.8% | 34 / 240 |
34 / 240 |
Opposition | ||
| BSPzB | BSP for Bulgaria БСП за България |
Democratic socialism | Korneliya Ninova | 10.1% | 26 / 240 |
26 / 240 |
Government | ||
| ITN | There Is Such a People Има такъв народ |
Populism | Slavi Trifonov | 9.4% | 25 / 240 |
25 / 240 |
Government | ||
| DB | Democratic Bulgaria Демократична България |
Anti-corruption | Borislav Sandov | 6.3% | 16 / 240 |
16 / 240 |
Government | ||
| Revival | Revival Vazrazhdane |
National conservatism | Kostadin Kostadinov | 4.8% | 13 / 240 |
13 / 240 |
Opposition | ||
Opinion polls
- Graphical representation of recalculated data
The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | PP | GERB–SDS | DPS | BSP | ITN | DB | Revival | IBG-NI | VMRO | Others | None of the above | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Research | 8-14 Apr 2022 | 1,037 | 21.1% | 24.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | – | – | 10.2% | – | 3.7% |
| Trend | 6-13 Apr 2022 | 1,004 | 20.1% | 23.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% |
| Gallup | 31 Mar-8 Apr 2022 | 809 | 23.8% | 25.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| Market Links | 22-29 Mar 2022 | 1,029 | 19.7% | 22.1% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | – | – | – | – | 1.4% |
| Trend | 5-12 Mar 2022 | 1,007 | 22.9% | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Alpha Research | 6-14 Feb 2022 | 1,060 | 29.9% | 22.2% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | – | – | 4.9% | — | 7.7% |
| Gallup | 3–11 Feb 2022 | 803 | 30.2% | 21.9% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5%[lower-alpha 1] | 1.7% | 5.4% | — | 8.3% |
| Trend | 12−19 Jan 2022 | 1,004 | 26.4% | 22.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% |
| November 2021 election | 14 November 2021 | — | 25.7% | 22.7% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% |
Notes
- Only polled IS.B
References
- Tsolova, Tsvetelia (2021-11-15). "New centrist party wins Bulgarian election, could end months of deadlock". Reuters. Retrieved 2022-02-25.
- "Bulgarian Lawmakers Confirm New Government After Months Of Deadlock". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 2022-02-25.
- "IFES Election Guide | Elections: Bulgaria Parliament 2021". www.electionguide.org. Retrieved 2022-02-25.
- "ans_130355_1645461599 | International IDEA". www.idea.int. Retrieved 2022-02-25.
